She gave a good answer...
Live from CBO: There is one very important thing to recognize about the year of Repeal and Replace is that the CBO's power and influence was at a maximum even though its bureaucratic influence was zero. The bureaucratic influence of CBO comes from the fact that the midpoint of its ranges determine whether pieces of legislation do not or do fit within the parameters of the Reconciliation process and the Budget Enforcement Act, and thus are or are not subject to a 60-vote point-of-order in the Senate. But those questions have never been at issue this year. And yet the CBO has wielded enormous influence, just by saying what it thinks the effects of proposed pieces of legislation are.
That is an amazing accomplishment.
Live from the Gehenna That Was The Old New Republic: Shame on Franklin Foer and Andrew Sullivan for refusing to comment. Kudos to Charles Lane for talking on the record—but "no complaints from female staffers ever came to him... [because while] the editor was nominally the supervisor of Leon Wieseltier... that was not reality... Leon had total autonomy as literary editor and a very close, almost brother-like relationship with the owner at the time, Marty Peretz..." evades the important fact that no complaints came to him because nobody thought he would be any help. And he should examine his conscience. But he is a mensch here.
And for the rest who talk but not on the record? Kinsley, Hertzberg, Beinart, Just? Feh...
Jason Cherkis: 'I Was Blind And Complicit And Just, Like, Did Nothing': New Republic Staffers Speak Out: "'I accept I was blind and complicit and just, like, did nothing', one former top New Republic editor, who asked to remain anonymous to speak candidly, told HuffPost...
Live from Sexual Harassment Central: Could Wieseltier please change his statement? Could he not say the false: "I am ashamed to know that I made any of [the women with whom I worked] feel demeaned and disrespected"? Could he say, instead, the true: "I am ashamed that now the public knows that I gleefully and joyfully made women with whom I worked feel demeaned and disrespected—and violated"?
Hiring assholes is almost always a bad idea, Brookings Institution. Sir Isaiah would not be pleased:
I seem to have a disagreement with Jason Furman here:
@jasonfurman: Not seeing the math error. Mankiw said static. His soln is right for static (defined as unchanged base)... And dynamic version is higher.
I was taught the definition of "static" by the Jedi Masters at OTA in the early 1990s...
Note to Self: Where Does the Use of "Takers" as in "Makers and Takers" and "A Nation of Takers" Come From?: It appears to come from right-wing loon and goldbug Edmund Contoski:
@Noahpinion: On Twitter: Brad DeLong will find your algebra errors: http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/10/note-to-self-greg-mankiw-providing-backup-for-kevin-hassett-department-larry-summers-one-last-time-on-who-benefits-fro.html
delong: Every day, a new fresh hell...
Today's new fresh hell is chasing links on the way back from Edinburgh to find Mulligan, Cochrane, Mankiw all marveling over how "gorgeous" and "striking" it is that the ratio of the wage gain to the "static" revenue loss is always 1/(1-t)—how it is a remarkable and important insight that the production function parameters drop it. With not a single one saying:
Live from the Orange-Haired Baboon Cage: Matthew Yglesias: Establishment Republicans mystified by their base should look at Ed Gillespie’s campaign: "Gillespie and his campaign feel that a hysterical racialized scare campaign about gang rape with zero grounding in policy reality will sell better than some kind of tedious seminar about immigration’s impact on wages...
Live from the Orange-Haired Baboon Cage: Peter Suderman: The G.O.P. Is a Mess. It’s Not All Trump’s Fault: "When the year began, the speaker of the House, Paul Ryan, cited health care and taxes as his top legislative priorities...
Live from the Orange-Haired Baboon Cage: Matthew Yglesias: If this kept happening with a septuagenarian colleague at your work:
@mattyglesias: If this kept happening with a septuagenarian colleague at your work, there’d be some difficult conversations with HR.
Live from Timeless Coffee: Let the record show that even though I live in what is supposed to be Avocado Toast Central, this is the first time I have ever seen the phrase "avocado toast" used non-ironically:
Live from the Orange-Haired Baboon Cage: I endorse Duncan Black here. I am not going to ignore that this is a situation that calls for the removal of the President immediately via the Amendment 25 process. And shame on everybody else who pretends not to notice this:
May 11, 2017: Degenerative: "Time keeps on ticking..."
October 12, 2017: Sundown: "It's a bit more... mainstream... now...
...but I posted this at the time because it was obvious and no one in "serious" journalism could say it or even really suggest it. I don't mean I'm a sort of brave truthteller, I just mean I'm a dumb blogger who can say what he wants and journalists, for better or for worse, "can't" always (sometimes for good reasons, sometimes not).
Should-Read: Pascal-Emmanuel Gobry: The hypocrisy of Bob Corker: "It is well-understood that the United States, and the West in general, is in the grips of a populist insurgency that often has noxious ideas...
Twitter: @jbarro and @mschmitt9: Our politics is about small concerns and concerns too big:
Twitter: @dhnexon, @hilzoy, & Friends: I am so TIRED of people asking why TNC does not "give us hope".":
@dhnexon: I've spent the past 2 days rereading @thomaschattwill critique of @tanehisicoates in the NYT for a post on the 'new' race vs. class debate. I'm afraid to say that I'm not a fan.
Twitter: One more Democratic speech:
@RevDrBarber: Both @VP & Richard Spencer pulled stunts to stoke white rage this weekend. But neither proposes policies that would help poor white people.
@mattyglesias: This is well said. I’d only add that they’re not helping middle class white people either. White supremacy is America’s oldest & best con.
Memories of the Eastern Front: War on the Rocks: The Motherland Calls: The Battle of Stalingrad, 75 Years Later: "In September, Stalin sent General Vasily Chuikov to take command of the embattled survivors of the 62nd Army...
Should-Read: Highly recommended:
Walter Jon Williams: Quillifer: "Sir Basil gaped at me, then laughed...
...“My advocate!” he scorned. “That is precisely what I need, another advocate! And further, one who reads his Mallio in the Rawlings translation, hah!”
He pointed a finger at me. “Look you—how would you translate the following: ‘Quatenus permittit aurum prodit lex’?”
I was a little surprised to find myself at school again, but rose to the challenge. “‘Laws goeth where gold pleaseth.’” Though there was no way to translate “prodit” in all its subtlety, with its hint of betrayal, and of keeping the subject on a short leash, and bound by strict Necessity.
“Ay, plain but serviceable enough,” Sir Basil judged. “Yet Rawlings has it, ‘Howsoever gold and laws goeth ever in company.’ He understands not even that prodit, which is plain as—” He made a fist. “As the corruption of the common law by the judiciary!”
“I have the Delward translation at home,” I said. “But I preferred not to risk it on the journey”...
Live from the Orange-Haired Baboon Cage, Watching Its Opinions-of-Shape-of-Earth-Differ Inhabitants: I score this one for Erik Loomis.
Milo and Bannon do plot to cow America's universities and use them as backdrops for their dingbat kabuki, and Trump—well, it is not clear that Trump plots anything at all save to vent the id of his base. Republicans do believe that "food, health care and shelter are all limited resources that should only be given to those that have earned the privilege and can afford those things." Brendan Nyhan's claims otherwise seem—well, they seem rather foolish refusals to acknowledge reality:
Erik Loomis: Pundits: They Love Political Norms that "Both Sides Do It," Hate Accurate Descriptions of Republican Policies: "Evidently Brendan Nyhan followed me on Twitter. Nyhan is a political scientist at Dartmouth and frequent writer in the New York Times who contributes eye-rollers such as this... http://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2017/10/pundits-love-political-norms-sides-hate-accurate-descriptions-republican-policies
Live from the Orange-Haired Baboon Cage: Matthew Yglesias: Puerto Rico is all our worst fears about Trump coming real: "it’s essentially inconceivable that the next objectively difficult crisis that Trump fumbles will be more in Kelly’s wheelhouse than a disaster requiring a military response in the Caribbean... https://www.vox.com/2017/10/1/16390006/puerto-rico-trump
Should-Read: Republican "Senate Leadership Fund". You never know for whom these things are written, or how much the people writing these things believe them. For what it's worth, my conclusion is that Republicans need to frantically un-gerrymander as many districts as possible as fast as possible:
MEMORANDUM FROM: Steven Law. DATE: .September 26, 2017 SUBJECT: Alabama and the New Republican Primary Battlefield: "Although special elections are notoriously idiosyncratic and difficult to extrapolate from... http://delong.typepad.com/rlc.pdf
Live from the Old New Republic: Alex Pareene, has, I think, gotten it right here...
Alex Pareene: You Are Jonathan Chait's Enemy: "New York’s Jonathan Chait writes today about the 'dangerous consequences' of the left’s use of the label 'white supremacist' to describe Donald Trump, the alt-right, and American conservatism in general... https://splinternews.com/you-are-jonathan-chaits-enemy-1818814301
Live from Sproul Plaza: I was never convinced that Nazi salutes belonged on the streets of Skokie, IL—I thought that that was neither the time, the place, nor the manner for 1st Amendment expression of those ideas. And I am pretty strongly convinced that Nazi salutes do not belong on my campus:
Must-Attend: United Against Hate: Our Free Speech Week: "Tue 9/26, West Crescent Lawn...
...11 am-12 noon: Alumni from Berkeley Free Speech Movement in the '60s
12-1 pm: Professor Dan Kammen (Goldman School of Public Policy, former Climate Science Envoy to the State Dept.)
1-4 pm: Islam teach-in - tentative (Muslim Student Association, Faces of African Muslims, and other organizations)
4-5 pm: Dean Erwin Chemerinsky (Boalt Law School)
5-6 pm: Professor Robert Reich (Goldman School of Public Policy)
6-7 pm (timing to be confirmed): Samuel Sinyangwe (co-founder of Campaign Zero)
Live from the Data Science Bubble: When Masters in Financial Engineering degrees are being sold by business schools as Data Science degrees, can the Cthulpocalypse be far behind?
Live from Harvard Professor John Stauffer Sets His Reputation on Fire: Apropos of the role of the university, we had this quote last week from Stauffer re Michelle Jones:
We didn’t have some preconceived idea about crucifying Michelle. But frankly, we knew that anyone could just punch her crime into Google, and Fox News would probably say that P.C. liberal Harvard gave 200 grand of funding to a child murderer, who also happened to be a minority. I mean, c’mon...
Live from Evans Hall: In this morning's mail, two books that look excellent and interesting: Bates's The Development Dilemma and Mulgan's Big Mind. But when will I have time to read either of them?
I'll give each of them away to anybody around here who will promise me 2000 words on what it says and why it is (or isn't) interesting and reliable...
Book of the Month: Charles Petzold: The Annotated Turing: A Guided Tour Through Alan Turing's Historic Paper on Computability and the Turing Machine http://amzn.to/2ydNuDw
Live from the Future of the Past: John Holbo: Robert Heinlein writes letters to editors and librarians: "Enough Lovecraft! Robert Heinlein!... http://crookedtimber.org/2017/09/12/robert-heinlein-writes-letters-to-editors-and-librarians/
Live from Cal Bear Future Legal Liability Land: Duncan Black: Unpaid Player Concussion Game: "College football is one of those great mysteries to me... http://www.eschatonblog.com/2017/09/unpaid-player-concussion-game.html
The Onion: Hijackers Surprised To Find Selves In Hell: "JAHANNEM, OUTER DARKNESS—The hijackers who carried out the Sept. 11 attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon expressed confusion and surprise... http://www.theonion.com/article/hijackers-surprised-to-find-selves-in-hell-1445
...Monday to find themselves in the lowest plane of Na'ar, Islam's Hell.
"I was promised I would spend eternity in Paradise, being fed honeyed cakes by 67 virgins in a tree-lined garden, if only I would fly the airplane into one of the Twin Towers," said Mohammed Atta, one of the hijackers of American Airlines Flight 11, between attempts to vomit up the wasps, hornets, and live coals infesting his stomach. "But instead, I am fed the boiling feces of traitors by malicious, laughing Ifrit. Is this to be my reward for destroying the enemies of my faith?"
The rest of Atta's words turned to raw-throated shrieks, as a tusked, asp-tongued demon burst his eyeballs and drank the fluid that ran down his face.
According to Hell sources, the 19 eternally damned terrorists have struggled to understand why they have been subjected to soul-withering, infernal torture ever since their Sept. 11 arrival.
Two Things Worth Highlighting:
Must-Read: Nikola Koepka and Joerg Baten (2005): The biological standard of living in Europe during the last two millennia http://www.bradford-delong.com/2016/08/must-read-nikola-koepka-and-joerg-baten-2005-the-biological-standard-of-living-in-europe-during-the-last-two-millen.html
Comment of the Day: Charles Steindel: Olivier Blanchard on Role of DSGE: "On the whole... masterful. The rub is, as you say, at the end. What are good microfoundations? As he notes, information asymmetries, behavioral economics considerations, and the like, make the crude 'micro' backbones of standard DSGE models laughably at odds with reality. But these same considerations pose serious problems for regular old microeconomic analysis.... It may be the real intellectual crisis is micro, but since microeconomists don't seem ever to be asked to make forecasts with a date attached there isn't the same visible angst..." http://www.bradford-delong.com/2016/08/comment-of-the-day-charles-steindel-_olivier-blanchard-on-role-of-dsge_-on-the-whole-as-one-would-expect-oliv.html
Live from Hurricane Alley: Rob Davis: Wow. This Miami forecast https://twitter.com/robwdavis/status/905875057095786496:
Live from the Orange-Haired Baboon Cage: Anne Laurie: Wednesday Morning Open Thread: Angry Incompetents: "@Rschooley: 'Don't think of it as being ruled by angry, cruel, racist people. Think of it as being ruled by incompetent, angry, cruel, racist people.'... https://www.balloon-juice.com/2017/09/06/wednesday-morning-open-thread-angry-incompetents/
@Bakari_Sellers: "There is a direct correlation between Charlottesville, Arpaio, ending DACA and 'Trumps Base'. It cannot be [over]stated.
Franco Ordoñez and Anita Kumar: How Jeff Sessions got Trump to stop protecting Dreamers http://www.mcclatchydc.com/article171362847.html: "It was last Thursday, and Sessions... tried to get into the Oval Office...
Live from Federal Reserve Economic Data: Brad DeLong's FRED Economic Statistics Dashboard https://research.stlouisfed.org/useraccount/dashboard/215: What I want my Econ 101b students to see and think about before they come to class next January:
Looking Forward to Four Years During Which Most if Not All of America's Potential for Human Progress Is Likely to Be Wasted
With each passing day Donald Trump looks more and more like Silvio Berlusconi: bunga-bunga governance, with a number of unlikely and unforeseen disasters and a major drag on the country--except in states where his policies are neutralized.
Nevertheless, remember: WE ARE WITH HER!
The purpose of this weblog is to be the best possible portal into what I am thinking, what I am reading, what I think about what I am reading, and what other smart people think about what I am reading...
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