Charlie Cook's Political Report
Of all the bizarre things to emerge from Iowa, perhaps the most bizarre was the conventional wisdom argument that the Iowa results were good for McCain. They were less bad for McCain than for Romney or Giuliani. But good?
OFF TO THE RACES: As Obama Emerges, The GOP Picture Gets Murkier By Charlie Cook Tuesday, Jan. 8, 2008....
Now here we are on primary day in New Hampshire, and it looks as if Huckabee's win in Iowa effectively put the brakes on Romney's momentum in what might be the best comeback since Lazarus rose from the dead. McCain appears to have an excellent chance....
On the Republican side, things will likely get very muddled, and perhaps stay that way for a while. Huckabee was unable to replicate his Iowa win in Wyoming, where Romney won, and is unlikely to win in New Hampshire, where McCain and Romney are battling it out. He also seems unlikely to win in Michigan on Jan. 15 or in Nevada on Jan. 19. Huckabee does, however, stand a decent chance in South Carolina and at least a half dozen of the Feb. 5 states. Indeed, of the19 states holding GOP primaries or caucuses on Feb. 5, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, Huckabee, McCain and Romney all have states they could win.
In short, we may be looking at a very early Democratic nomination and a much longer, more sustained fight for the GOP nod.
