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Why Oh Why Can't We Have a Better Press Corps?: Why Can't Karen Tumulty Do Her Homework Weblogging

If Karen Tumulty did her homework, she would know that a plot electoral vote-popular vote decision is not a 50% probability but a 10% probability, and she would know that neither William Galston nor Mark Mackinnon is a reliable authority on this issue--or, indeed, on much of anything.

But she doesn't. So she doesn't:

Romney, Obama could split popular and electoral college vote, polls suggest: So here’s a prospect worth contemplating: What if Romney carries the popular vote, but Obama regains the presidency by winning 270 votes or more in the electoral college?

“I think it’s a 50/50 possibility — or more,” said Mark McKinnon, who was a political strategist for President George W. Bush.

“If the election were held tomorrow, it wouldn’t just be a possibility, it would be actual,” added William A. Galston, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, who also served as a policy adviser to President Bill Clinton.

This is beyond embarrassing for her. Why oh why can't she do her homework?