Noted to Aid Your Morning Procrastination for September 25, 2013
The Simplest Game of Poker...

Poker: You Gotta Know When to Texas Hold'Em Edition

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UMKC hosts 8th annual Pat Kelly Scholarship Poker Tournament | Law School News:

More than 90 participants, including students, faculty and alumni, recently gathered for the 8th annual Pat Kelly Scholarship Poker Tournament. The tournament, which is sponsored by the UMKC Law Foundation, the UMKC Law Alumni Association and the SBA, was held Friday, Sept. 13 in the UMKC Student Union. Second-year student Blair Barbieri won the tournament and received an iPad 2 and the coveted Pat Kelly trophy for her excellent game play.

One more card to come, three hearts out on the table headed by the ace, and I had two wired hearts in the hole headed by the queen…

I went all-in[1]…

The last card was a heart, meaning that her king of hearts in the hole gave her an ace-king flush that beat my ace-queen…

With seven hearts out and 42 cards still till be dealt in the information-set deck, her odds were only one in seven. And she stayed in at a cost of 1/4 of the pot…

She thought that there was more than one chance in fifteen that I was bluffing and had bupkis…

Now had I played well or badly up to that point for her to have thought that?

:-)


[1] With my wired two hearts headed by the queen and three on the table, the chance that she also had wired hearts and that they were headed by the king and so she had me beat before the last card was only 0.7%, as was the chance that she had the king alone and a heart would be dealt on the last card. Interesting that the probabilities were 150-1 from the perspective of my information set and less than 4-1 from hers…

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