Fairly Recently: Must- and Should-Reads, and Writings... (December 12, 2018)

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  1. Two Differences Between a Clinton Administration and a Trump Administration...: Overwhelmingy, those writing opeds and releasing studies boosting last year's Trump-McConnell-Ryan corporate tax cut knew that the forecasts they made last year were overwhelmingly likely to be wrong. So they are not surprised when they turn out to be wrong. And they do not even think it worthwhile to go through the motions of pretending to be surprised that the investment share of national income and product in 2012 dollars is 18% and not 22%. So I say to Binyamin Applebaum, and to other reporters who wrote up—much less critically then they should have—what the administration was saying and what corporate tax cut-boosting economists from Barro to Taylor and company were saying last year: remember: "fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me"...

  2. Hoisted from the Archives: Matthew Yglesias: The Lies, The Lies of Andrew Sullivan

  3. Fall 2018 Econ 101b Exam: U.C. Berkeley

  4. Note to Self: Watching Niskanen Center Live Stream: "Starting Over: The Center-Right After Trump...


  1. Cosma Shalizi (1998): Psychoceramics: "Psychoceramics could... play a... role... analogous to that of lesion studies in neuropsychology. A working intellectual discipline, like probability theory or Sanskrit philology, has mechanisms which keep it from going off the rails, and keep cranks from taking over; most of the time and on balance, they produce reliable knowledge. This is manifestly not the case outside the bounds of such disciplines... #orangehairedbaboons #publicsphere #cognitive

  2. Ezra Klein: Political Tribalism in Trump’s America: What Andrew Sullivan Gets Wrong: "I knew when we launched Vox that there would be criticisms I didn’t anticipate, but I’ll admit, I never foresaw one of them being that writing explainers doesn’t satisfyingly replace the role of religion in people’s lives. Yet here we are.... That’s Andrew Sullivan writing in New York magazine, and while the column caught my attention for that line, which I will now have needlepointed on a pillow, the broader piece is wrong in more important, less amusing, ways... #shouldread #orangehairedbaboons #journamalism

  3. Always remember that Andrew Sullivan glories in misleading the public by telling them lies: "The Krugmans and the Chaits will shortly have a cow, if not a whole herd of them.... To which my response is: Hoorah.... Commentators... get steamed because Bush has... claimed his tax cut will cost less than it actually will... is using Medicare surplus money today that will be needed tomorrow and beyond.... The fact that Bush has to obfuscate his real goals of reducing spending with the smoke screen of 'compassionate conservatism' shows how uphill the struggle is." When somebody tells you he is an evil, deceptive f---, believe him: HOLLYzoy: Besides @ezraklein 's Point About Andrew Sullivan, a Few Others: "'But the banality of the god of progress, the idea that the best life is writing explainers for Vox in order to make the world a better place, never quite slakes the thirst for something deeper'. I think that sneering at this impulse makes sense only if you don't ask the people involved what 'making the world better' means. Suppose you thought: democracy is the best political system. But it requires a reasonably informed citizenry to work. It's always hard for people to be adequately informed (they have lives.) But doubly so now, when entire networks etc. are actively trying to mislead them. Then those of us who have a knack for it should try to step up, and make it easier. How is this shallow or banal? If done right, it is a way of supporting democracy, and of empowering our fellow citizens. It also helps them to spot demagogues and charlatans. If you think that democracy is an inspiring ideal (I do), then this is an inspiring thing to do... #orangehairedbaboons #journamalism #publicsphere

  4. Philo: On the Cherubim: "Is my mind my own private possession? It is a creator of lies, a founder of wandering, of paranoia...

  5. How did Evangelicals miss the memo that God saves you later only if you save the image of God in your neighbor today?: "Lord, when saw we thee an hungred, or a thirst, or a stranger, or naked, or sick, or in prison, and did not minister unto thee?": Ronald Brownstein: Trump's Coalition Is Cracking: "Evangelical Christians this year comprised fully 45% of all white voters without a college degree, a substantial portion of the total electorate. By contrast, evangelicals represented only one-fourth of college-educated white voters. (In 2016, the exit polls found that evangelicals constituted slightly larger shares of each group.) In all of the southern states where the question was asked this year, evangelicals represented a majority of working-class white voters, including fully two-thirds in Georgia and Tennessee. Evangelicals were also a majority of white working class voters in West Virginia and Indiana and exactly half in Missouri... #orangehairedbaboons

  6. Principles of Neoliberalism: .Neoliberalism is many things...

  7. Allin Cottrell (2003): Word Processors: Stupid and Inefficient

  8. Kieran Healy: The Plain Person’s Guide to Plain Text Social Science

  9. Daniel Donner: Requiem for a California Dream: "It is especially delicious, then, to watch the real-time collapse of the Republican Dream in California—and specifically Orange County—as the state party’s power shrivels into a desiccated lump of greenish oatmeal. Meanwhile, California as a whole enjoys its status as one of the most diverse and dynamic states in the country, with a thriving combination of culture and creativity—and, yes, taco stands on many corners, if not every one—making it one of the most desired regions in the world in which to live, work, or play... #politics #california #orangehairedbaboons

  10. Paul Krugman: Botching the Great Recession: "The acute phase of the financial crisis... was relatively brief... scary and did immense damage—America lost 6 ½ million jobs in the year after Lehman fell. But... measures of financial stress fell off rapidly in 2009, and were more or less back to normal by the summer. Rapid financial recovery did not, however, produce rapid recovery for the economy as a whole. As the same figure shows, unemployment stayed high for many years...

  11. TV Tropes: [Literature/Badass Creed(https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/BadassCreed/Literature): "The millennia-old messenger golem Anghammarad remembers a badass version of the A-M Post Office motto from the dawn of time: 'Neither Deluge Nor Ice Storm Nor The Black Silence Of The Netherhells Shall Stay These Messengers About Their Sacred Business. Do Not Ask Us About Sabre-Tooth Tigers, Tar Pits, Big Green Things With Teeth Or The Goddess Czol.' Inevitable question: The Goddess Czol? Anghammarad: Do Not Ask...

  12. The first occurrence of "Be still my heart!": Homer: The Odyssey: "Ulysses lay wakefully brooding upon the way in which he should kill the suitors; and by and by, the women who had been in the habit of misconducting themselves with them, left the house giggling and laughing with one another.... His heart growled within him... But he beat his breast and said, 'Heart, be still, you had worse than this to bear on the day when the terrible Cyclops ate your brave companions; yet you bore it in silence till your cunning got you safe out of the cave...'

  13. Noah Smith: Trump's Embrace of Tariffs Hurts U.S. Consumers More Than China: "Trump’s goal of making the U.S. more competitive isn’t bad, but he needs to stop using bad tools. Tariffs... raise costs for American manufacturers and prices for American consumers. Tariff Man needs to cool his jets...

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