The United States Has Been Treading Water on Coronavirus since Early April
Other countries have managed to get R[0] well below 1—have begun substantially shrinking the daily number of new cases.
The United States has not:
Our current level of social distancing and lockdown appears to be producing about 30,000 new confirmed cases a day. We are no longer—and have not for two weeks been—ramping up and utilitizing our testing capabilities. On our current trajectory we look to be incurring about 2000 reported coronavirus deaths a day.
Our medical system is handling the current run of cases. But it would be nice to get the number of cases down and the number of tests up so that we could begin implementing test-and-trace. But that requires a lot more tests—which are not there. And that required more effective social distancing to get R[0] substantially below one—which is not there, certainly not at a nationwide level.
#coronavirus #highlighted #orangehairedbaboons #2020-04-18
