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Data Management, Analysis, and Presentation Skills Are to the 21st Century What Writing in a Chancery Hand Was to the 13th: Hoisted from Various Archives

Science Is Different in the Movies The Outtake

Cosma Shalizi reminds me of the internet "data scientists are (good and empirically oriented) statisticians" discussion of 2011-12.

Let me say three things:

  1. You should never use Excel to handle your data.

  2. I don't know whether it is depressing or exhilarating to recognize that, for me as for Cosma, how often my reaction these days is: "I already wrote something incisive and very much worth reading about that—now to find it in my weblog archives..."

  3. Increasingly, data management, analysis, and presentation are things that many more people need for their jobs than statistics departments can reasonably expect to funnel through their major programs. It's like in the middle ages: the number of people who needed to have a good, clear, legible-penmanship chancery hand vastly exceeded the number of professional calligraphers and illustrators. Data management, analysis, and presentation skills are, increasingly, the legible-penmanship chancery hand of the twenty-first century.

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Note to Self: Data Science Reading List:

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Note to Self: View jupyter notebook from dropbox (or other) links:

  • Dropbox: change: "https://www.dropbox.com/" to: "http://nbviewer.jupyter.org/urls/dl.dropbox.com/"; then load the url...
  • Else: change: "https://" to "http://nbviewer.jupyter.org/"; then load the url...

Information Technology and the Future of Society

Microprocessor Google Search

Hoisted from 2001: Information Technology and the Future of Society (My Bekeley CITRIS Kickoff Talk) http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/TotW/citris_kickoff.html: For perhaps 9000 years after the beginnings of agriculture the overwhelming proportion of human work lives were spent making things: growing crops, shearing sheep, spinning yarn, weaving cloth, throwing pots, cutting down trees, copying books, and so on, and so forth.

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Assignment Desk: Website (Re)design and The Road to Xanadu

Note: I will collect stuff relevant to this assignment desk here: http://www.bradford-delong.com/stream-the-road-to-xanaduthe-invisible-college.html

Assignment Desk: http://www.bradford-delong.com/assignment-desk.html

+ + + +

I am looking for somebody to write something to tell me what I should think—these days about website (re)design, and the assorted and related topics that I think of as "The Road to Xanadu" and "The Invisible College".

It is a truth universally acknowledged that any organization with a website that has not been redesigned in two years will find itself thinking about starting yet another website redesign process. Hence my throat clearing for http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/07/what-you-need-to-read-today-reading-reihan-salams-why-i-signed-up-for-obamacare-hoisted-from-my-archives.html yesterday and my hoisting of http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/07/should-read-well-its-been-two-more-years-ezra-klein-2015-i-have-sat-down-a-couple-of-times-to-write-up-what.html today...

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Fifteen Theses on "The Wealth of Humans" and "After Piketty"

31 The Day the Earth Stood Still Robot Attack Scene Clip HD YouTube

Notes for the July 11, 2017 Research on Tap http://www.bradford-delong.com/2017/06/equitable-growth-research-on-tap-after-piketty-tue-jul-11-2017-at-500-pm.html event:

  • Ryan Avent (2016): The Wealth of Humans: Work, Power, and Status in the Twenty-first Century http://amzn.to/2t9TtWe
  • Heather Boushey, J. Bradford DeLong, and Marshall Steinbaum: After Piketty: The Agenda for Economics and Inequality http://amzn.to/2t9UI7y

Meditations on Ryan Avent:

Ryan Avent: What will happen to 'The Wealth of Humans'? http://www.aei.org/publication/the-wealth-of-humans-a-qa-with-ryan-avent/: "This really dramatic technological change... the digital revolution... is adding hugely to the amount of effective labor that’s available to firms.... A lot of routine tasks in factories and in offices... [to] be automated.... High-skilled jobs... use these new technologies to do work that used to require a lot more people to do and in the process are displacing workers... enormous, abundant labor.... Employer[s] with... huge reservoir[s] of willing workers at very low wages... say.... "I don’t need to invest in this labor-saving technology.... replace my cashiers with automated checkout... replace the people moving boxes in the warehouse with robots". And so you get this sort of self-limiting technological change.... The more powerful the digital revolution... the more people... looking for low-wage work... the less of an interest firms have in using machines to replace them..."

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Assignment Desk: Quantum Mechanics in Your Face!

So I took Sidney Coleman's wonderful 1994 lecture: Quantum Mechanics in Your Face!. And I grabbed the automatic Youtube subtitles from it, cleaned them up somewhat, and attached them to the video. But...

  1. Somebody who knows what they are talking about needs to check the transcript for coherence and accuracy...
  2. Somebody needs to prepare slides of the transparencies that Coleman put up on the screen—because in the video they are unreadable...

Any takers?

(Progress on this assignment, if any, will be tracked here...)

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Hoisted from His Archives in 2007: Glenn Fleishman on iPhone: "It truly feels like something dropped out of the future..."

Glenn Fleishman: Glenn Fleishman Likes His iPhone http://www.bradford-delong.com/2007/07/glenn-fleishman.html: "My Real iPhone Review: I haven't had time to write up all my impressions of my first day with an iPhone...

...but I am perfectly happy to admit that it exceeded my expectations, partly because I was prepared to be slightly let down by some of the bigger promises.... What's still valid about my hesitation in recommending the first-generation iPhone is that AT&T's EDGE network truly is too slow for anything but simpler text-heavy Web sites and for email, and that viewing Web pages and other text that's designed for wide-column layout is hard to read on screen. The former problem will be solved with an updated piece of hardware that uses the third-generation (3G) cell network. The latter problem could be solved in software, by offering an option to rewrap text streams into narrower columns for better legibility.

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DeLong: The Future of Work: Automation and Labor: Inclusive AI: Technology and Policy for a Diverse Human Future

Il Quarto Stato

Thank you very much.

Let me follow the example of our Lord and Master Alpha-Go as it takes the high ground first.

Let me, therefore, take the hyper-Olympian and very long run historical point of view.

The human brain is a massively parallel supercomputer that fits inside half a shoebox.

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Inclusive AI: Technology and Policy for a Diverse Urban Future

Inclusive AI: Technology and Policy for a Diverse Urban Future https://www.eventbrite.com/e/inclusive-ai-technology-and-policy-for-a-diverse-urban-future-tickets-31896895473: Wed, May 10, 2017 10:30 AM - 5:30 PM

Panel 3: The Future of Work: Automation and Labor

  • Ken Goldberg
  • Brad DeLong,
  • James Manyika
  • Costas Spanos
  • Laura Tyson
  • John Zysman

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Procrastinating on April 30, 2017

We re All Public Intellectuals Now The National Interest

Over at Equitable Growth: Must- and Should-Reads:

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Artificial Intelligence and Artificial Problems: At Project Syndicate

Cursor and Preview of Artificial Intelligence and Artificial Problems Fresh at Project Syndicate

Over at Project Syndicate: Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers is fencing with current U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin about "artificial intelligence"--AI--and related topics.

Most of their differences are differences of emphasis.

Mnuchin is drawing the issue narrowly: the particular technologies called "Artificial Intelligence taking over American jobs". And he is, at least as I read him, is elliptically criticizing high stock market values for "unicorns": companies with valuations above a billion dollars and yet no past record or clear future path to producing revenues to justify such valuations.

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Live from a university that seems to need some very different IT managers:

Houston We Have a Problem

Make it so that I cannot even view my own course's website without logging in--even though I have no objection to anybody in the world reading my syllabus--and then crash the authentication module so that I cannot log in? Really...

Anybody from Berkeley IT want to leave a comment giving me a reason that I should use bCourses in the future?

I'm waiting...


Procrastinating on February 3, 2017

Cursor and We re All Public Intellectuals Now The National Interest

Over at Equitable Growth: Must- and Should-Reads:

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Procrastinating on December 31, 2016

Preview of Procrastinating on November 20 2016

Interesting Reads:

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Anybody Feel Like Making a Cleaned-Up Transcript of This: Historical Scholarship and the New Media?

Preview of Weblogger of the Month Scott Eric Kaufman

I must say I would greatly appreciate one...

Tedra Osell, Scott Eric Kaufman, Brad DeLong, Ari Kelman, and Eric Rauchway: Historical Scholarship and the New Media: May 23, 2007 U.C. Davis History Department Lunch Colloquium: Courtesy of U.C. David Department of History http://history.ucdavis.edu/:

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Note to Self: The iron law of websites:

All websites, sooner or later, no matter how good intentioned the authors or how much advance planning of information architecture was conducted, evolve to mimic the bureaucratic structure of the organization that maintains it. This makes them much less uselful for everybody else...


Live from the Internet: I need--very badly--a better aggregation-on-the-fly tool than Storify. Fold might be a possibility (in spite of its quirks) if only its "remix cards" feature would become a reality. But at the moment it just takes too long to put something together in it vis-a-vis Storify's compose pane-search pane interface. And simply dumping links with text in a weblog compose window produces a much more compact presentation than does Storify...

Are there any other better tools than those two for vacuuming up things on the internet quickly that I have missed?


Procrastinating on July 29, 2016

NewImage

Over at Equitable Growth: Must-Reads:

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Programming in the 21st Century...

NewImage

Live from Northern California: "Code monkeys"--an insult to simians of all species: That's what I'm saying...

I am still marveling at the fact that last spring it took Berkeley’s bCourses system six hours to read a table of 10,000 numbers off of the iClicker.com and put it into its own database. And, of course, any network timeout anywhere in those six hours would cause the process to barf completely, saving none of its intermediate state.

All this for programs running on chips that work so fast that light travels less than a foot in each clock cycle...


Must-Read: Leah Schnelbach: Thinking Through Violence in The Just City and The Philosopher Kings:

In a different book, the narrative would become either ‘Maia’s recovery’ or ‘Ikaros’ redemption’, and Walton would track their lives and relationships with this night as a fulcrum point. Instead, it’s one night in their lives...

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Testing Datawrapper...


O9LpN  2

QP1qD


Static Chart Link--Production

Static Chart Link--Employment


In Which I Face My Social Media Ineptitude Squarely

The Scary Debate Over Secular Stagnation Milken Institute Review

Live from Cyberspace: Welcome praise for J. Bradford DeLong (2015): The Scary Debate Over Secular Stagnation - Milken Institute Review: Hiccup ... or Endgame? Much appreciated. Thanks...

Paul Krugman: "Good Review by Brad DeLong: There are still real policy issues out there! The Scary Debate Over Secular Stagnation" https://t.co/f5ancyOEHT

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The Wayback Machine: From Ten Years Ago: July 1-July 15, 2006

Peabody and sherman original Google Search

  • The Pattern of Growth in Income Inequality http://www.bradford-delong.com/2006/07/the_pattern_of_.html 2006-07-15: Greg Mankiw questions Paul Krugman.... The big rise in inequality in the U.S. since 1980 has been overwhelmingly concentrated.... The top 1% have gone from 8 to 16 times average income, the next 4% have gone from 3.2 to 3.7 times average income, and the next 5% have been stuck at 3 times average income. It's hard to attribute this pattern to a rise in the premium salary earned by the well-educated by virtue of the skills their formal education taught them.... It is especially hard because most theories of the rising education premium attribute it to skill-biased technological change generated by the high-tech computer industrial revolution.... The timing doesn't fit either.... If the New York Times were smarter, it would give Paul Krugman 2000 words every two weeks, rather than confining him to the straightjacket of 700 words twice a week...

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Comment of the Day: The estimable RJW has not been looking at our traffic numbers as much as we have. Tweetstorms appear to get much higher readership levels than do blog posts...

Robert Waldmann: Oh Noes!:

  1. Tweetstorms are very strange
  2. They occur when someone wishes to write more than 140 characters and chooses a medium with a 140 character limit.
  3. The 'Mystery is Why the Very Sharp' Brad DeLong and Paul Krugman tweet storm (or is the verb form 'to storm tweets').
  4. Another mystery is how does twitter often manage to present the stormed tweets in non-consecutive order
  5. A third mystery is is why is 'Why' capitalized ? (I remember a time when the very sharp Brad DeLong was quite put out over my over use of capital letters).
  6. it was in 1989.
  7. but what would be a perfect tweet storm ?
  8. I am waiting for an epic tweet poem in rhymed couplets.
  9. see pseudo tweet 4 above.

Weekend Reading: Cory Doctorow: How to Protect the Future Web from Its Founders' Own Frailty

Cory Doctorow: How to Protect the Future Web from Its Founders' Own Frailty:

So, as you might imagine, I'm here to talk to you about dieting advice. If you ever want to go on a diet, the first thing you should really do is throw away all your Oreos.

It's not that you don't want to lose weight when you raid your Oreo stash in the middle of the night. It's just that the net present value of tomorrow's weight loss is hyperbolically discounted in favor of the carbohydrate rush of tonight's Oreos. If you're serious about not eating a bag of Oreos your best bet is to not have a bag of Oreos to eat. Not because you're weak willed. Because you're a grown up. And once you become a grown up, you start to understand that there will be tired and desperate moments in your future and the most strong-willed thing you can do is use the willpower that you have now when you're strong, at your best moment, to be the best that you can be later when you're at your weakest moment.

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Live from Cyberspace: What this misses is that the Democratic Wing of the Democratic Party does not--or maybe should not--want its candidate to win the nomination. Unless you like presidents like Richard M. Nixon, a Democratic candidate has to have an effective reach and appeal that includes the muddled and confused blancmange that are the swing voters of America. The best self of the Democratic Wing of the Democratic Party wants to run another McGovern in a general election about as much as the best self of their Republican counterparts wants to run another Goldwater:

Zeynep Tufekci: The Disruption Is Digital: "Insurgents like Bernie Sanders have been the rule, not the exception...

...From Eugene McCarthy to Jesse Jackson, the [Democratic] Party’s left wing regularly broke ranks to run on quasi-social democratic platforms. But with the exception of George McGovern in 1972, these challengers all fell short of the nomination, partly because they lacked the money to effectively organize and advertise. The party establishment had a virtual monopoly on every political tool needed to win.

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